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Lecture by Prof. T.Subba Rao (Professor, University of
Manchester, UK)
28 Feb. 2008, CECTech, Hiroshima
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CECtech thanks Prof. Subba Rao for his valuable lecture and
discussions. CECTech thanks Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, which
extended this opportunity to have his lecture at our CECtech.
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Lecture on Intervention Time Series Analysis for Poverty
Reduction (Forecast) Problem.
The problem is to forecast the literacy, unemployment, family
economic strengths, etc in an effort to provide better strategy
for creating policies to reduce the poverty.
Since there are many parameters involved in the problem,
Intervention Time Series analysis can be the best approach to
the solution.
Though not exact solution may come up as a result, but a
possible forecast view can be recommended. |
| Discussion on the problem.
Prof. Subba Rao, Professor Emeritus Tadao Ichikawa (Hiroshima
University), Dr. Sasipalli VSRao (CECTech) discussing the details of
the problem.
Dr. Rao explained the severity of the problem in India and the
Indian government policies, that are being taken as input data
for our study. The input data is taken for
1950 - 2000, the forecast results are expected for 2020.
Prof. Subba Rao, suggested that if the input data is
available for more periods prior to 1950 also, the results can
be more accurate in the proposed or discussed methods. |
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Prof. Subba Rao futher provided sources of the material related
to the topic and for in-depth study on the problem. These
sources include text books, which describe the mathematical formulae
and research papers, which provide strategies adopted in the
research so far published, and references of people who worked
on such problems as of ours.
Prof. Ichikawa made some comments in respect of digital
generation with fast development of mobile technology and its
implications on society. |
| Research
staff of CECTech joined the discussions and the discussions
broadened to several areas of the problem. Prof. Subba Rao has
made some suggestions on the problems they are currently
working. He suggested future research on various topics that
relate to society, science and technology.
Prof. Ichikawa and Dr. Rao shared the view point of Prof.
Subba Rao and the research staff could learn the current
scenarios and some directions of research. |
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Prof. Subba Rao, Prof. Ichikawa and Dr. Rao are more
enthusiastically listening the explanations of the research
staff on their research projects and problems. The research
staff are working on real-world problems that require
mathematical or statistical and software solutions.
Those problems specifically include, family relations in the
changing world, software applications, technology for reducing
seismic wave effect on buildings and bridges, etc. |
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| Group photo: (from left to right) Mrs. Subba Rao, Ms. R. G.
Nageswari, Dr. Sasipalli VSRao, Prof. Ichikawa, Prof. Subba Rao,
Mr. T. Murali Mohan, Mr. K. N. Srinivas. |
Baby
Ramalakshmi thanked Prof. Subba Rao on behalf of CECTech and its
staff. |
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